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[2008-01-04]长江证券晨会纪要2008-1-4

2008-1-4 /
(8621)63217917 yindt@cjsc.com.cn 2008-1-3 300 5,422.03 5,319.86 180 50 12,161.97 4,230.42 1,494.63 17,911.30 100 6,059.90 0.69 0.89 0.50 0.25 1.51 0.31 0.78
 0102 07 321.6
?
07
06
114.64 130.55 , 20.19%
,
144.99 33.16%
10.00 6.60
07 , YGC1 CWB1 3.94% 3.23%
6.30 6.19
-3.98 -3.11 -2.90 -2.44
JTP1 -3.5%
000930 600236 600981 600090 600001
8.76 13.15 13.93 13.50 9.22
10.05 10.04 10.03 10.02 10.02
17.66 GAC1 70.9% CWB1 68.61% 80.26% YGP1 91.14% JTP (76.78%) 63. 37% YGC1 , SFC2 GAC1 208. 98% 156.89% 296.2% CWB1 2.37 GAC1 0.49 1.39
07
08 A
YGC1
CWB1
600000 600111 600143
50.87 46.57 38.06
-5.00 -4.82
d
kk
kk
d
c
-4.66
d
000545
*ST
10.62
-5.01
c
d
600967
17.06
-5.22
d
d
d
d
-4.47
YGP1 -10.8%
d
6.45
3.13%
5.31%
3 JTP1 -9.8%
d
d
06 82.57
99.9 14.57
1372 288.34 289.5% A
d 1
d
d
,
d
d
c c c c
5,223. 5,124. 5
0.79 0.80
T+0
Scalping
7.8570 6.5889 6.4052 5.6841 6.0110 5
7.6770 6.5489 5.8552 5.6141 5.3010
97.800 5.050 4.750 3.652 3.510
1.0190 5.3455 4.8937 3.7866 4.0713
CPPI
110.80 5,124. 03 113.21
0.01 0.80
0.27
1.0000 0.1375 0.0932 15.0684
7.2715 10.7240 0.0664 1.0000 1.4750 0.6781 1.0000 0.0091 0.0061
109.57 161.594 1.0000 00 0
2008
A
1
2
S&P500 NASDAQ DAX FTSE100 225
1,447.16 2,602.68 7,908.41 6,479.40 15,307.78
-1.44 -0.27 -0.51 0.98 -1.65
2
2008
1
2
3
2008
2007
2007 A
d
13,056.72
0.10
1 2008
A
0.21
100
2008
d
d
d
d
d
c
26,887.28
-2.44
c d c d d A
d d c d d d c c d d c d c d kk c c c
4
A 5 2007
2008 A
A
2008
6
100
A
7
2008 2008
A
 2008
?
1 2007
2
2007
3
4
5
6

?
c
c
c
c
c
c
q
c
d
c
c
d c
2009 A
PE 40x 31x
115x 45x 35x 10 15%
2008 2009 Wind
c
c
c
c
c
d
d c
c
c c
c
d
c
c
d
c
c c
d
c
d
d
c
d
d c
c
d
c
d
d
c
d
c c r
c c c c c c c c c
A 12
2007
2006-2007 76% 71%
2008
PES0.16
2 5 8
100
30
2.5
2007-2009
EPS
0.71 1.13
1.60
2006 35
50 15
2003
c
c
d
d d d c d d d d d r q b d d r q d d d d c c c c d d d
volvo-s40 25
S-max
2005 2
16 2
2007
11
2005 35 25
KD
2007 2007 49500 2008
3
152500
2006 2006
4300
d
d
d
d
d c d
d
2007 3 50 25
2
2008
d
d c 3
d
d
r d
q d d d c d d c d d d c d
d
07 08
09
EPS
0.36 0.82
0.92
2009
18.3 2463 EPS 0.0002
6
07 08
09
EPS0.80 1.00
1.19
c
d
d
d
d
c
d
c
d c c d c d d r d c d d d c d q c d c c
d
10.25
3.2
2006 2005 2006 22.5%
8.64% 8.61%
50%
6.0458
22.2 07 15~17
3.2
08 09 0.44 0.57 08 27~30 pe
0.68
d
d c 4
d
d
d
d
d
d
c
d
d
c c
d
d d c
200002 430015
130 8
5 (8621)63217917 FAX (8621)33130730
TEL E-mail ( ) E-mail
yangjf@cjsc.com.cn FAX (8621)51062920 guihm@cjsc.com.cn
TEL (8621)63516121
12 ,
/
12 , 10% 5% 10% -5% 5% -5%
/
http:// www.cjsc.com.cn
d
c
d c d c c d c d d c
l l

[2008-01-04]长江证券晨会纪要2008-1-4

发布机构:
报告类型:晨会报告 发布日期:2008/1/4
报告评级:
撰写作者:
报告下载:134687 文件类型:PDF文档
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内容简介

2008-1-4 /
(8621)63217917 yindt@cjsc.com.cn 2008-1-3 300 5,422.03 5,319.86 180 50 12,161.97 4,230.42 1,494.63 17,911.30 100 6,059.90 0.69 0.89 0.50 0.25 1.51 0.31 0.78
 0102 07 321.6
?
07
06
114.64 130.55 , 20.19%
,
144.99 33.16%
10.00 6.60
07 , YGC1 CWB1 3.94% 3.23%
6.30 6.19
-3.98 -3.11 -2.90 -2.44
JTP1 -3.5%
000930 600236 600981 600090 600001
8.76 13.15 13.93 13.50 9.22
10.05 10.04 10.03 10.02 10.02
17.66 GAC1 70.9% CWB1 68.61% 80.26% YGP1 91.14% JTP (76.78%) 63. 37% YGC1 , SFC2 GAC1 208. 98% 156.89% 296.2% CWB1 2.37 GAC1 0.49 1.39
07
08 A
YGC1
CWB1
600000 600111 600143
50.87 46.57 38.06
-5.00 -4.82
d
kk
kk
d
c
-4.66
d
000545
*ST
10.62
-5.01
c
d
600967
17.06
-5.22
d
d
d
d
-4.47
YGP1 -10.8%
d
6.45
3.13%
5.31%
3 JTP1 -9.8%
d
d
06 82.57
99.9 14.57
1372 288.34 289.5% A
d 1
d
d
,
d
d
c c c c
5,223. 5,124. 5
0.79 0.80
T+0
Scalping
7.8570 6.5889 6.4052 5.6841 6.0110 5
7.6770 6.5489 5.8552 5.6141 5.3010
97.800 5.050 4.750 3.652 3.510
1.0190 5.3455 4.8937 3.7866 4.0713
CPPI
110.80 5,124. 03 113.21
0.01 0.80
0.27
1.0000 0.1375 0.0932 15.0684
7.2715 10.7240 0.0664 1.0000 1.4750 0.6781 1.0000 0.0091 0.0061
109.57 161.594 1.0000 00 0
2008
A
1
2
S&P500 NASDAQ DAX FTSE100 225
1,447.16 2,602.68 7,908.41 6,479.40 15,307.78
-1.44 -0.27 -0.51 0.98 -1.65
2
2008
1
2
3
2008
2007
2007 A
d
13,056.72
0.10
1 2008
A
0.21
100
2008
d
d
d
d
d
c
26,887.28
-2.44
c d c d d A
d d c d d d c c d d c d c d kk c c c
4
A 5 2007
2008 A
A
2008
6
100
A
7
2008 2008
A
 2008
?
1 2007
2
2007
3
4
5
6

?
c
c
c
c
c
c
q
c
d
c
c
d c
2009 A
PE 40x 31x
115x 45x 35x 10 15%
2008 2009 Wind
c
c
c
c
c
d
d c
c
c c
c
d
c
c
d
c
c c
d
c
d
d
c
d
d c
c
d
c
d
d
c
d
c c r
c c c c c c c c c
A 12
2007
2006-2007 76% 71%
2008
PES0.16
2 5 8
100
30
2.5
2007-2009
EPS
0.71 1.13
1.60
2006 35
50 15
2003
c
c
d
d d d c d d d d d r q b d d r q d d d d c c c c d d d
volvo-s40 25
S-max
2005 2
16 2
2007
11
2005 35 25
KD
2007 2007 49500 2008
3
152500
2006 2006
4300
d
d
d
d
d c d
d
2007 3 50 25
2
2008
d
d c 3
d
d
r d
q d d d c d d c d d d c d
d
07 08
09
EPS
0.36 0.82
0.92
2009
18.3 2463 EPS 0.0002
6
07 08
09
EPS0.80 1.00
1.19
c
d
d
d
d
c
d
c
d c c d c d d r d c d d d c d q c d c c
d
10.25
3.2
2006 2005 2006 22.5%
8.64% 8.61%
50%
6.0458
22.2 07 15~17
3.2
08 09 0.44 0.57 08 27~30 pe
0.68
d
d c 4
d
d
d
d
d
d
c
d
d
c c
d
d d c
200002 430015
130 8
5 (8621)63217917 FAX (8621)33130730
TEL E-mail ( ) E-mail
yangjf@cjsc.com.cn FAX (8621)51062920 guihm@cjsc.com.cn
TEL (8621)63516121
12 ,
/
12 , 10% 5% 10% -5% 5% -5%
/
http:// www.cjsc.com.cn
d
c
d c d c c d c d d c
l l
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