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[2008-1-10]海通证券--宏观经济月报:物价上行压

2008
1
10
10
,2008
2008
2007.8.23 2007.3.19
2007.1.10
021-23219434 Email lml@htsec.com
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021 63411619 wangym@htsec.com
021 63411586 gaodd@htsec.com
021 23219439 skwu@htsec.com
021 23219403 luying@htsec.com
021 23219422 kljiang@htsec.com
021 23219409 chenmf@htsec.com
021 23219399 yezg@htsec.com
021 23219405 dingpin@htsec.com
021 23219402 zhangluan@htsec.com
021 23219404 dengyong@htsec.com
021 23219452 guqing@htsec.com
021 23219395 lianmk@htsec.com
021 23219421 liujin@htsec.com
021 23219408 maying@htsec.com
021 23219420 ymniu@htsec.com
021 23219413 qiucc@htsec.com
021 23219396 qiuzc@htsec.com
021 23219412 zhanwh@htsec.com
021 23219411 longh@htsec.com
021 23219391 liuyq@htsec.com
021 23219389 panhw@htsec.com
021 23219401 shuaih@htsec.com
021 23219407 wangyh@htsec.com
021 23219390 wangs@htsec.com
021 23219436 xiey@htsec.com
021 23219414 yanp@htsec.com
021 23219406 yanghj@htsec.com
021 23219397 yelf@htsec.com
021 23219416 zhour@htsec.com
021 23219382 fankx@htsec.com
021 23219434 lml@htsec.com
021 23219435 chenl@htsec.com
021 23219433 zrchen@htsec.com
021 23219438 chenyong@htsec.com
021 23219432 wanghui@htsec.com
021 23219431 yujg@htsec.com
021 23219393 chenjiuhong@htsec.com
021 23219387 wuyiping@htsec.com
021 23219440 huangzf@htsec.com
16
021 23219442 zhangdy@htsec.com
021 23219450 loujing@htsec.com
021 23219472 huqian@htsec.com
021 23219445 jiangjx@htsec.com
021 23219424 zqyong@htsec.com
021 23219448 shankj@htsec.com
021 23219449 wuxx@htsec.com
021 23219444 zhouj@htsec.com
021 23219400 zghan@htsec.com
021 23219381 hzh@htsec.com
021 23219386 gaoqin@htsec.com
021 23219385 huxm@htsec.com
021 23219410 huangyu@htsec.com
021 23219384 jiwj@htsec.com
021 23219373 maoyl@htsec.com
021 23219454 sunj@htsec.com
689 021 63411371 021 63411363 www.htsec.com
11

[2008-1-10]海通证券--宏观经济月报:物价上行压

发布机构:
报告类型:宏观研究 发布日期:2008/1/10
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内容简介

2008
1
10
10
,2008
2008
2007.8.23 2007.3.19
2007.1.10
021-23219434 Email lml@htsec.com
c
d
q
c
d d c d c c d r
d c
1
1. 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 2. 2.1
............................................................................................................. 3
10
.................................................................................................................... 7
................................................................................................................................... 7 ...................................................................................................... 8 ............................................................................................................. 10
2.2 3.
c
c c c c c c c
.......................................................................................... 3 ...................................................................................... 3 10 ............................................................. 4 .......................................................................... 5 11 ............................................................................. 5 ......................................................... 6
c
2
1 2007
12
2008
c
c c
1 2 3 4 5 6 M2 M1 7 8 9
................................................................................................... 3 ....................................................................................................... 4 ........................................................................................... 4 ........................................................................................................... 5 ................................................................................................................... 6 ....................................................................................................... 7 ..................................................................... 11 2007 11 ...................................................................... 12 ................................................................................. 13
c c
1
.......................................... 10
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c 
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1.1c
1 3












     
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1.4c
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10
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2007
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2008 % % % % %
1 2007 17.6 23.7 15.3 6.9 14.5 3 4 17.4 25.5 15.5 26.8 21.3 168.8 18.0 17.1 103.0 5 18.1 25.9 15.9 28.7 19.1 224.5 19.28 16.52 103.4 6 19.4 26.7 15.4 27.1 14.2 269.1 20.9 17.1 104.4 1-11 18.5 26.8 16.4 26.1 20.5 2381.2 21.67 18.45 104.6 12 E 18.3 26.5 16.3 22.5 25.4 236.0 21.5 18.2 106.4 2008 1 17.5 26 15.8 22.1 25.5 169.8 20.5 17.5 106.0 E
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68.7 19.81 17.27 103.3
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8
2007
11 12
                                 
                    
c c d
9
13
c d c
d d
d
d
14
15
021 63411619 wangym@htsec.com
021 63411586 gaodd@htsec.com
021 23219439 skwu@htsec.com
021 23219403 luying@htsec.com
021 23219422 kljiang@htsec.com
021 23219409 chenmf@htsec.com
021 23219399 yezg@htsec.com
021 23219405 dingpin@htsec.com
021 23219402 zhangluan@htsec.com
021 23219404 dengyong@htsec.com
021 23219452 guqing@htsec.com
021 23219395 lianmk@htsec.com
021 23219421 liujin@htsec.com
021 23219408 maying@htsec.com
021 23219420 ymniu@htsec.com
021 23219413 qiucc@htsec.com
021 23219396 qiuzc@htsec.com
021 23219412 zhanwh@htsec.com
021 23219411 longh@htsec.com
021 23219391 liuyq@htsec.com
021 23219389 panhw@htsec.com
021 23219401 shuaih@htsec.com
021 23219407 wangyh@htsec.com
021 23219390 wangs@htsec.com
021 23219436 xiey@htsec.com
021 23219414 yanp@htsec.com
021 23219406 yanghj@htsec.com
021 23219397 yelf@htsec.com
021 23219416 zhour@htsec.com
021 23219382 fankx@htsec.com
021 23219434 lml@htsec.com
021 23219435 chenl@htsec.com
021 23219433 zrchen@htsec.com
021 23219438 chenyong@htsec.com
021 23219432 wanghui@htsec.com
021 23219431 yujg@htsec.com
021 23219393 chenjiuhong@htsec.com
021 23219387 wuyiping@htsec.com
021 23219440 huangzf@htsec.com
16
021 23219442 zhangdy@htsec.com
021 23219450 loujing@htsec.com
021 23219472 huqian@htsec.com
021 23219445 jiangjx@htsec.com
021 23219424 zqyong@htsec.com
021 23219448 shankj@htsec.com
021 23219449 wuxx@htsec.com
021 23219444 zhouj@htsec.com
021 23219400 zghan@htsec.com
021 23219381 hzh@htsec.com
021 23219386 gaoqin@htsec.com
021 23219385 huxm@htsec.com
021 23219410 huangyu@htsec.com
021 23219384 jiwj@htsec.com
021 23219373 maoyl@htsec.com
021 23219454 sunj@htsec.com
689 021 63411371 021 63411363 www.htsec.com
11
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